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研究生中文姓名:王安利
研究生英文姓名:An-Li Wang
中文論文名稱:利用廣義線性模型建立藥物 Warfarin 劑量決策之研究
英文論文名稱:A Research of Generalized Linear Model in Warfarin Dosage Decisions
指導教授姓名:李美賢
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:臺北市立大學
系所名稱:數學系數學教育碩士班統計組
論文出版年:103
畢業學年度:102
語文別:中文
論文頁數:55
中文關鍵詞:抗凝血劑劑量廣義估計方程式
英文關鍵字:WarfarinGeneralized estimating equationsGEE
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Warfarin為抗凝血劑,主要用於罹患心血管疾病之病患,該藥物與一些藥物和疾病有很強的交互作用,容易受到外在因素而加強或削弱其藥效,因此使用時需特別小心,若warfarin劑量不足,則病患易發生血管拴塞;劑量過多將會導致病患有出血的風險。目前國內warfarin的建議劑量皆參考歐美之用藥指南,而國內對於warfarin劑量研究不多,也尚未出現以華人病歷資料為基礎之用藥參考的相關研究,因此本研究將採用某大型醫院於一段期間內開方使用warfarin的病歷資料,針對華人進行warfarin使用劑量之探討。

該筆資料共有87位病患,其中女性病患45位,男性病患42位,以每位病患拿到warfarin的處方計為一個人次,共計415人次,資料內容包含年齡、INR值、影響處方的藥物與疾病等,由於該病例屬於重複觀測型之資料,因此本研究將採用廣義估計方程式,評估藥物warfarin在不同影響因子下的使用劑量。

本研究利用廣義估計方程式分析藥物warfarin在不同影響因子下的使用劑量,得到以下結果:(一) 藥物warfarin的平均使用劑量會因為病人罹患病原不明之肺炎、充血性心臟衰竭、非酒精引起的肝硬化、急性腎衰竭與其他革蘭氏陰性細菌所致之肺炎等疾病而降低至少0.1毫克的使用劑量。(二) 與warfarin共同使用時需要特別考慮的藥物,至少都對warfarin平均使用劑量產生0.1毫克的增減。(三) 在其他影響因子不變之下,當INR值增加1單位,warfarin平均使用劑量約需增加0.27至0.28毫克。
Warfarin is the anti-coagulation and it is irreplaceable. Warfarin dose is affected by many factors, such as related drugs and diseases. Using warfarin has to be careful. If patients take inadequate doses, they will be blood clots. On the other hand, if patients take excessive doses, they will be bleeding. Currently, we refer to warfarin-used guide for Europeans and Americans in Taiwan, and there are few domestic papers about warfarin dose. In addition, it has not published a study of warfarin dose which is based on Chinese case history. Therefore, this research in warfarin dose is based on case history of patints who used warfarin in a perid in a large hospital.

This data is composed of 87 patints, including 45 females and 42 males. Each patient getting warfarin prescription is counted as one sample, and the data amounts to 415 samples comprisig age, INR, related drugs and related diseases. Thence, it is a repeat measurement data, so using generalized estimating equations (GEE) to estimate warfarin dose in each case.

The GEE results are found that (1) all related diseases we selected reduced dose about 0.1mg, (2) related drugs bring about 0.1mg of adjustment in dose at least. (3)As other conditions remain unchanged, the INR rise 1 degree, the average of warfarin dose takes more about 0.27mg - 0.28mg.
第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究背景與動機 1
第二節 研究目的與待答問題 3
第三節 名詞釋義 4
第四節 研究範圍與限制 6
第二章 文獻探討 9
第一節 介紹抗凝血劑warfarin 9
第二節 國內warfarin研究 13
第三章 研究方法 17
第一節 資料分析 17
第二節 分析方法 28
第四章 研究結果 31
第一節 所有影響因子之GEE配適 31
第二節 具影響力的影響因子之精簡GEE配適 33
第三節 臨床需要之GEE配適 35
第五章 研究結論與討論 37
第一節 研究結論 37
第二節 研究討論 38
參考文獻 39
附錄 43
一、中文文獻

1. 陳雅婷。2010。使用全民健康保險研究資料庫研究warfarin處方型態及潛在一級交互作用之風險分析。碩士論文。台北:台灣大學醫學院臨床藥學研究所。
2. 周冠妙。2006。某醫學中心服用Warfarin之心房纖維顫動患者最低有效抗凝血強度以及維持劑量之研究。碩士論文。台北:台灣大學醫學院臨床藥學研究所。
3. 中央健康保險署。2013。中央健康保險署藥品給付規定。台北:中央健康保險署。網址:http://www.nhi.gov.tw/webdata/webdata.aspx?menu=20&menu_id=710&WD_ID=812&webdata_id=2919。上網日期:2013-08-10。
4. 陳朝欽、雷孟桓。2012。新型口服抗凝血劑—心房顫動中風預防的新希望。內科學誌23:77-97。
5. 李明達。2008。個人化醫療-利用基因型來預測每個人最適當藥物劑量:Warfarin(抗凝血劑)敏感性之藥物基因學。中央研究院週報1176:4-6。
6. 中央健康保險署。2001。國際疾病分類ICD-9-CM2001年版與ICD-10-CM/PCS對應資料檔。台北:中央健康保險署。網址:http://www.nhi.gov.tw/webdata/webdata.aspx?menu=17&menu_id=1042&WD_ID=1042&webdata_id=3990。上網日期:2012-09-05。
7. 和信治癌中心醫院。2006。抗凝血劑。台北:和信治癌中心醫院。網址:http://kfsyscc.org/index.php?menu_id=1475
8. 佛教大林慈濟綜合醫院藥劑部。2010。Warfarin治療監測。嘉義:佛教大林慈濟綜合醫院藥劑部。網址:http://dlweb01.tzuchi.com.tw/dl/Med/tdm/Warfarin.pdf‎。上網日期:2012-09-17。
9. 林桂鈴。2007。Warfarin 劑量調整指引。雲林:財團法人天主教若瑟醫院藥劑部。網址:http:// drug.stjoho.org.tw/message/09-03.pdf‎。上網日期:2012-09-17。

二、英文文獻

1. Anaheim Memorial Medical center。 Warfarin 使用計劃。
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3. Ansell J, Hirsh J, Dalen J, et al. Managing oral anticoagulant therapy. 2001. Chest. in America.119(1 Suppl):22S-38S.
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9. Hirsh J. Dalen J. Guyatt G. American College of Chest Physicians. 2000.The sixth ACCP guidelines for antithrombotic therapy for prevention and treatment of thrombosis. Chest. in American.119 (1 Suppl):1S-2S,2001
10. Hylek EM, Singer DE. 1994. Risk factors for intracranial hemorrhage in outpatients taking warfarin. Ann Intern Med. in America. 120(11):897-902.
11. J Am Coll Cardiol .Fuster V, Ryden LE, Asinger RW, et al. 2001. ACC/AHA/ESC guidelines for the management of patients with atrial fibrillation: executive summary. A Report of the American College of Cardiology/ American Heart Association Task Force on Practice Guidelines and the European Society of Cardiology Committee for Practice Guidelines and Policy Conferences (Committee to Develop Guidelines for the Management of Patients With Atrial Fibrillation): developed in Collaboration With the North American Society of Pacing and Electrophysiology. Circulation. in America. 38(4):1231-66
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15. Landefeld CS, Rosenblatt MW, Goldman L. 1989. Bleeding in outpatients treated with warfarin: relation to the prothrombin time and important remediable lesions. Am J Med. in Tucson. 87:153-9
16. Levine MN, Raskob G, Beyth RJ, Kearon C, Schulman S. 2004. Hemorrhagiccomplications of anticoagulant treatment: the Seventh ACCP Conference on Antithrombotic and Thrombolytic Therapy. Chest. in America.126(3 Suppl):287S-310S
17. Palareti G, Leali N, Coccheri S, et al. 1996. Bleeding complications of oral anticoagulant treatment: an inception-cohort, prospective collaborative study (ISCOAT). Italian Study on Complications of Oral Anticoagulant Therapy. Lancet. in London. 348:423-8.
18. Petitti DB, Strom BL, Melmon KL. 1986. Duration of warfarin anticoagulant therapy and the probabilities of recurrent thromboembolism and hemorrhage. Am J Med. in Tucson. 81:255-9.
19. Schulman S, Beyth RJ, Kearon C, Levine MN. 2008. Hemorrhagic complications of anticoagulant and thrombolytic treatment: American College of Chest Physicians Evidence-Based Clinical Practice Guidelines (8th Edition). Chest. in America.133:257S-98S
20. Siguret V, Esquirol C, Debray M, Gouin I, Andreux JP, Pautas E. 2003.Excess antivitamin K in elderly hospitalised patients aged over 70. A one-year prospective survey. Presse Med. in France. 32:972-7
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23. SAS. 1996. SAS/STAT® Software: Changes and Enhancements through Release 6.11. Cary, N.C.: SAS Institute Inc. 1104 pp
24. Torn M, Algra A, Rosendaal FR. 2001. Oral anticoagulation for cerebral ischemia of arterial origin: high initial bleeding risk. Neurology. in America. 57:1993-9
25. Tyler Smith, Besa Smith. 2006. PROC GENMOD with GEE to Analyze Correlated Outcomes Data Using SAS. Available at :http://www.lexjansen.com/wuss/2006/tutorials/TUT-Smith.pdf. Accessed 20 Octorber 2013.
26. Wittkowsky AK, Devine EB. 2004. Frequency and causes of overanticoagulation and underanticoagulation in patients treated with warfarin. Pharmacotherapy. in America.24(10):1311-6.
27. Zeger SL, Liang KY and Albert P.S. 1988. Models for longitudinal data: a generalized estimating equation approach. Biometrics. in America. 44:1049-1060.
28. Zeger SL, Liang KY. 1986. Longitudinal data analysis using generalized linear models. Biometrics. in America. 73:13-22.
29. Zeger SL, Liang KY. 1992. An overview of methods for the analysis of longitudinal data. Statistics in Medicine. in New York. 11(14-15):1825-1839.
目次
第一章
第二章
第三章
第四章
第五章
參考文獻
附錄
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